“Country”
can be interpreted to mean the people or the economy. Either way, the answer to
the question is an emphatic “Yes!”
Will
the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act benefit the people? The nonpartisan Tax Policy Center
says 90 percent of middle-class taxpayers will get a tax cut in 2018.
Aren’t
these tax cuts temporary? The individual tax cuts technically expire after
eight years, but even those cuts considered “permanent” are not set in stone.
Congress can change the tax code at any time, and does. Senator Chuck Schumer’s
claim -- drawn from Tax Policy Center data -- that 83 percent of the benefits
will go to the top 1 percent in 2027 is based on Congress leaving the tax code
alone, which has never happened. In 2018, the center calculates 21 percent of
the benefits from the tax overhaul will go to the top 1 percent, a group that
currently pays 38 percent of all federal income taxes.
What
about lower-income earners? Many of them pay no federal income taxes due in
part to the earned income tax and child tax credits. Doubling the child tax
credit and raising the refundable amount to $1,400 will especially benefit
low-income earners.
Will
the tax overhaul benefit the economy? There are enough economists speculating
about the potential effects of the new law to fill the TD Garden. Economists,
like stock market analysts and weather people, are much better explaining what
happened after it’s over.
The
cut in the corporate rate to 21 percent and the ability of corporations to repatriate
earnings stowed in foreign bank accounts at reduced tax rates will undoubtedly
encourage expanded investment in the United States.
Tax
overhaul or not, however, the economy is fundamentally driven by demand. Some
of that demand will increase by putting more cash in people’s pockets. Some of
it will move to companies that start up or expand operations in the United
States because the legislation is helping level the international playing
field.
Naysayers
emphasize how little the law’s positive impact might be. Like their moms must
have told them: “If you can’t say something nice, then minimalize the good
news.”